ohthatpatrick Wrote:It might help to clarify that when we're arguing against a conclusion that's stated conditionally, we're only ever arguing with the 2nd half (the consequence).
For example, if my conclusion is:
If Sally came to the party, it would be lame.
Any idea that relates to whether or not Sally comes to the party is totally irrelevant.
The author's conclusion isn't assigning any likelihood or possibility to the idea that Sally is coming to the party.
I can say something like "If humans found life in another galaxy, humankind would be very excited" and not necessarily believe that it's likely or even possible that we'll find life in another galaxy. I'm only claiming that IF we did, I believe that something would follow.
So our only way to think through objections to this argument is to pretend we live in a world with ZERO iatrogenic disease and find a way to argue that the number of deaths would not really be cut in half.
As discussed earlier, we could just say "in a world with no hospitalization or medical treatments, we would have ZERO iatrogenic disease. But although we would have many fewer deaths from iatrogenic disease, zero in this scenario, we would have many NEW deaths happening as a result of no one who is sick ever being hospitalized or treated medically."
So the effect of (E) is merely to say, "Hey, author, you'll NEVER completely get rid of the risk of iatrogenic disease."
So what?
That's like telling me, "Hey, Patrick, we're NEVER going to be able to find life in another galaxy."
Okay, I didn't say we were. I just said that IF we did, people would be excited. You can only disagree with me by saying that finding life in another galaxy would NOT interest people.
You can only disagree with this author by saying that a world without ANY iatrogenic disease would NOT be a world with half the death rate.
Hope this helps.
If say for example that in this argument that it was not a conditional and instead it offered a new premise like "However, doctors have found a way to eliminate iatrogenic diseases through much better training where there are no more careless mistakes, the root cause of all iatrogenic disease". Then it concluded "Thus # of deaths would fall by 50% Would Answer Choice "E" work because in this case "E" would be directly challenging a premise that is stated ; "D" would also be a direct attack on the premise?
Originally, both "E" and "D" were merely attacking the sufficient condition in the conclusion so we could rule it as irrelevant as that is not what the author is directly stating but now the author is telling us it is possible.
I think if I had toned down the new premise and just said "Iatrogenic diseases is on a decreasing trajectory thanks to better doctor training; therefore the # of deaths will fall by 50% " then "D" and "E" would for sure work as flaws because it is saying even though you can reduce the # of deaths it will never be 0 or for all cases; perhaps the reduction is just in 1% of the cases and hence we do not expect the # of deaths to fall by that much. Importantly, perhaps these 1% of the deaths were deaths that may have occured anyways even without the treatment(the original gap in reasoning) , which further weakens the argument.